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The third Democratic presidential debate Saturday evening at Saint Anselm College in New Hampshire, featured a few hard right uppercuts, some fancy footwork, and punishing blows, but in the end, the debate was more about what unites Democrats rather than what divides them.
As Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders said: ``I think we [Sanders, Martin O’Malley, Hillary Clinton] have a lot more to offer the American people than the right wing's extremists.’’
As with most presidential debates, the contenders played fast and loose with the facts.
So after the main event and the dust settled, I went to work on fact-checking some issues that roused my interest.
1.) Percentage of Hillary Clinton’s Donors from Wall Street?
Clinton: “I think it’s important to point out that about 3 percent of my donations come from people in the finance and investment world,”
True or False? Technically true, but understand Mrs. Clinton numbers are based strictly on campaign receipts. She wasn't factoring in contributions to the super PACs supporting her.
According to a recent blog, posted by Will Tucker of Open Secrets http://goo.gl/NfZDjF donors in the securities and investment and commercial banking industries `` have given the super PACs backing Clinton more than $3.5 million out of the $20.3 million they’ve raised overall from individuals, unions and other entities — a healthy 17.2 percent. ''
So, taking into account donations to both outside groups and the Clinton campaign itself, ``Wall Street has provided about 7.2 percent of the funds backing Clinton — more than double what she said on Saturday.’’
Despite 7.2 percent of her funds coming from Wall Street, Tucker points out that Clinton's chief Republican rivals are considerably more dependent on Wall Street than she is.
For example, Jeb Bush’s ``total of $33 million from Wall Street is 26 percent of his super PAC plus large individual and PAC donations to his campaign — compared to 7.2 percent for Clinton,'' Tucker wrote.
2.) How Many Deaths is Bashar al-Assad (of Syria) Responsible For?
Hillary Clinton: ``I think it's fair to say, Assad has killed, by last count, about 250,000 Syrians. The reason we are in the mess we're in, that ISIS has the territory it has, is because of Assad.''
True or False? True
According to a September Washington Post article https://goo.gl/n8qkTI ``government forces [of President Bashar al-Assad] are responsible for many more of the estimated 250,000 deaths in the four-year-old conflict than are the Islamic State militants and rebel groups, analysts and monitoring groups [Syrian Network for Human Rights] say.’’
3.) Where Are We in Our Fight Against ISIS and Do We Have a Strategy?
Hillary Clinton: ``We now finally are where we need to be. We have a strategy and a commitment to go after ISIS, which is a danger to us as well as the region.’’
True or False? The jury is still out over whether the United States is where it needs to be to defeat ISIS.
On November 15, on CBS’s “Face the Nation,” former CIA deputy director Michael Morell reflecting on the Paris terror attacks, said: ``we’ve had the second largest terrorist attack in Western Europe since 9/11, the largest since Madrid in 2004. I think when you put those two things together and you put together the attack capability in the West, I think it’s now crystal clear to us that our strategy, our policy, vis-à-vis ISIS is not working and is time to look at something else.”
4.) Pay Equity for Women Workers?
Bernie Sanders: ``Women should not be making 79 cents on the dollar compared to that'' [of men].''
True or False? True
According to a press release from the U.S. Census Bureau issued in September http://goo.gl/NrKB4i `` In 2014, the median earnings of women who worked full time, year-round ($39,621) was 79 percent of that for men working full time, year-round ($50,383) ─ not statistically different from the 2013 ratio. The female-to-male earnings ratio has not shown a statistically significant annual increase since 2007.''
5.) Minimum Wage/Increased Incomes: Republicans Have Nothing to Offer
Hillary Clinton: ``I think it's great standing up here with the senator and the governor talking about these issues, because you're not going to hear anything like this from any of the Republicans who are running for president...They [the Republicans] don't want to raise the minimum wage.’’
True or False? False
Most GOP candidates, to be sure, including Marco Rubio (R-Fla), Ted Cruz (R-TX), Donald Trump, and Jeb Bush are opposed to raising the minimum wage.
But not all.
In August, 2015, NJ. Governor Chris Christie told CNBC that he opposed raising the wage to $15 an hour, but he did not rule out an increase to $10. The Obama administration has called for raising the minimum wage to $10.10 an hour.
Rick Santorum’s plan is to ``increase the minimum wage by 50 cents per year for three years to bring it back in line with historical standards'' according to his website.
Ohio Governor John Kasich, meanwhile, in September said that any potential minimum wage increase should be ``reasonable'' emphasizing that management and labor should sit down and talk about what is an effective way to help workers.
In May, retired American neurosurgeon Ben Carson told CNBC the minimum wage ($7.25) should ``probably'' be higher. In November, however, during The FOX Business Network & Wall Street Journal GOP Debates Republican debate, he flipped his position, saying ``I would not raise it.’’ ``I would not raise it specifically’’, Carson explained, `` because I'm interested in making sure that people are able to enter the job market and take advantage of opportunities.”
6.) Republicans Have No Proposals to Increase Incomes
Hillary Clinton: ``They [Republicans] don't want to do anything to increase incomes.’’
True or False? False
According to the Tax Policy Center analysis of Governor Jeb Bush’s tax reform plan http://goo.gl/WgWd4M , if his plan were enacted in 2017, it would cut taxes by $6.8 trillion over the following ten years. They also found that the plan would cut taxes for all income groups.
In addition, the Tax Policy Center reports that the Bush plan would result in a net tax cut over the next decade and would result in an increase in after-tax incomes for taxpayers in all income groups.
His plan, according to the Tax Foundation, would also lead to a 28.8 percent larger capital stock, 7.4 percent higher wages, and 2.7 million more full-time equivalent jobs.
Hillary Clinton: They [Republicans] don't want to do anything to increase incomes.’’
True or False? False
According to analysis of Senator Ted Cruz’s tax proposals by the Tax Foundation http://goo.gl/QY5qoi , his plan would lead to 12.2 percent higher wages, and 4.8 million more full-time equivalent jobs.
6.) Rebuilding American Cities: Martin O’Malley Stands Alone?
Martin O'Malley: ``And I'm the only candidate on this stage to put forward a new agenda for America's cities so we can employ more people in the heart of great American cities and get them back to work.''
True or False? False
Senator Sanders and former secretary of state Hillary Clinton also have advanced programs to rebuild U.S. cities.
In January, 2015, Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) introduced a bill to spend $1 trillion over the next five years to boost the nation's transportation infrastructure.
“For many years’’ Sanders said, ``we have underfunded the maintenance of our nation’s physical infrastructure.’’ “That has to change. It is time to rebuild America. A $1 trillion investment to modernize our country’s physical infrastructure would not just rebuild our country but create and maintain 13 million good-paying jobs that our economy desperately needs.”
``Each project’’, Sanders underscored, `` would require equipment, supplies and services, and the hard-earned salaries from the jobs created would be spent in countless restaurants, shops and other local businesses. And, all of this economic activity would generate new tax revenues to pay for the services that the American people expect and deserve.”
Hillary Clinton:
In November, Hillary Clinton unveiled her plan to spend $250 billion over five years to improve the nation’s infrastructure, a plan that could create 3.25 million jobs, according to government projections.
From Hillary Clinton’s website: ``According to the White House Council of Economic Advisers, every $1 billion in infrastructure investment creates 13,000 jobs. Moreover, the vast majority of the jobs created by infrastructure investment are good-paying, middle-class jobs — paying above the national median. And beyond creating good-paying jobs today, infrastructure investments promise to enhance the productivity of the American economy tomorrow — helping to boost the incomes of working Americans in the future. Every dollar of infrastructure investment leads to an estimated $1.60 increase in GDP the following year and twice that over the subsequent 20 years. ‘’
7.) U.S. Leads the World in Incarceration Rates?
Bernie Sanders: ``Today in America we have more people in jail than any other country on earth, 2.2 million people.’’
True or False? True
According to the Institute for Criminal Policy Research http://goo.gl/jQvtXA , the United States leads with 2, 217,000 incarcerated, followed by China with 1, 657, 812 and the Russian Federation with 642 444.
-Bill Lucey
December 21, 2015